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老钱:竞选资金与美国的老人政治

Old money: Campaign finance and gerontocracy in the United States
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Adam Bonica、Jacob M. Grumbach

中文摘要

美国政治人物的年龄在全球位居前列。本研究考察政治资金如何加剧政治代表性中的年龄不平等。我们通过记录关联构建了一个结合选民、捐赠者与候选人年龄的新数据集,发现美国选举中每一美元捐款的中位数来自66岁的捐款人——显著高于中位选民、候选人或当选官员的年龄。选区内与捐赠者内部的分析结果均证实,与候选人的年龄接近度会在广延边际(是否捐款)和集约边际(捐款金额)上增加捐赠。最后,我们模拟了假设实施竞选资金代金券政策下、不同年龄候选人的筹款情况。

Abstract

Politicians in the United States rank among the oldest globally. This study examines how money in politics contributes to age inequality in political representation. Using record-linkage to construct a novel data set combining the ages of voters, donors, and candidates, we find that the median dollar in US elections comes from a 66-year-old — significantly older than the median voter, candidate, or elected official. Results from within-district and within-donor analyses confirm that age proximity with candidates increases contributions on the extensive and intensive margins. Finally, we simulate candidate fundraising by age under a hypothetical campaign finance voucher policy.
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