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州级退休计划有效性的新证据:以OregonSaves为例

New evidence on the efficacy of state-based retirement programs: The case of OregonSaves
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · John Chalmers、Olivia S. Mitchell、Jonathan Reuter、Mingli Zhong

中文摘要

美国已有17个州要求雇主为无法参加雇主发起型计划的劳动者提供自动加入的退休储蓄安排,拟议中的联邦立法则寻求将此类计划推广至全国。本文考察了美国运行时间最长的计划OregonSaves的实施情况,记录了该计划确实促使部分参与者进行了储蓄。截至2023年年中,账户余额中位数约为600美元,但退出率超过50%,低收入群体尤其如此。反复接触该计划略微降低了退出率,但取款仍较为普遍。尽管许多人积累了一定但数额有限的储蓄,这些账户能否增长到足以显著提高退休消费的规模,目前仍不明确。

Abstract

Seventeen US states have mandated employers to facilitate auto-enrollment retirement saving for workers lacking access to employer-sponsored plans, and proposed federal legislation seeks to extend these plans to the national level. This paper examines the experience with OregonSaves, the country’s longest-running plan, documenting that the program did prompt some participant savings. Median account balances were about $600 by mid-2023, but opt-out rates were above 50%, especially for the low-paid. Repeated exposure to the plan slightly reduced opt-outs, though withdrawals remained common. While modest savings accrued for many, it remains unclear whether these accounts will grow large enough to significantly increase retirement consumption.
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