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健康风险与生命价值

Health risk and the value of life
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Daniel J. Bauer、Darius Lakdawalla、Julian Reif

中文摘要

我们将用于评估健康与长寿改善价值的传统生命周期框架扩展至一个包含多种健康状态的随机情境,并将其应用于具有不同合并症的成年人的死亡率、生活质量、劳动收入和医疗支出数据。我们发现,患病成年人每质量调整生命年(QALY)为降低死亡风险而愿意支付的金额几乎是健康成年人的两倍,且降低重病风险与降低轻病风险所获得的价值评估相近。我们的结果为以下现象提供了合理解释:为何人们反对以单一阈值来配给医疗资源,以及为何他们在预防上的投入少于治疗。

Abstract

We extend the conventional life-cycle framework for valuing health and longevity improvements to a stochastic setting with multiple health states and apply it to data on mortality, quality of life, labor earnings, and medical spending for adults with different comorbidities. We find that sick adults are willing to pay nearly twice as much per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) to reduce mortality risk as healthy adults, and that reducing the risk of serious illness is valued similarly to reducing the risk of mild illness. Our results provide a rational explanation for why people oppose a single threshold value for rationing care and why they invest less in prevention than in treatment.
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