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巴西女性劳动供给与农村养老金领取资格

Female labor supply and rural pension eligibility in Brazil
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Gaurav Khanna、Margaret J. Lay、Stephanie Lee、Benjamin S. Thompson

中文摘要

1991年,巴西扩大了农村退休养老金的覆盖范围,使此前未被覆盖的数百万女性在满足工作要求的条件下获得保障。我们采用双重差分方法表明,此次扩面使已婚女性就业率大幅提高了9个百分点,即26%。劳动参与率的这一上升既出现在当时已达到年龄资格的女性中,也出现在未来将获得资格的较年轻群体中。这些结果揭示了劳动者对劳动参与经济激励作出反应的能力,以及较年轻劳动者在应对退休激励时可能具有前瞻性的程度。

Abstract

In 1991, Brazil expanded its rural retirement pension to cover millions of previously uncovered women, conditional on work requirements. We use a difference-in-differences approach to show that this expansion drastically increased married women’s employment by nine percentage points, or 26 percent. This increase in labor force participation occurred among women who were immediately age-eligible, and among younger cohorts that would be eligible in the future. These results illuminate the capacity of workers to respond to financial incentives for labor participation, and the extent to which younger workers might be forward-looking as they respond to retirement incentives.
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