← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

限制性堕胎立法对队列死亡率的影响:来自19世纪法律变异的证据

Effects of restrictive abortion legislation on cohort mortality evidence from 19th century law variation
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Joanna Lahey、Marianne Wanamaker

中文摘要

宽松的堕胎政策被认为能够改善已出生儿童的平均福祉,近期基于20世纪美国数据的研究为此提供了证据。利用19世纪的限制性堕胎政策,我们揭示了政策与儿童福祉之间更为微妙的关系。尽管受堕胎限制的出生队列出生率有所上升,但我们几乎没有发现出生时福祉通过儿童选择这一标准渠道发生变化的证据,这与广义模型的预测一致。然而,这些规模更大的出生队列中的儿童在整个童年期更易死于传染病,这表明堕胎政策与儿童福祉之间存在不同的关联机制。

Abstract

Permissive abortion policy is thought to improve the average well-being of born children, as evidenced by recent studies based on 20th century US data. Using 19th century restrictive abortion policy, we demonstrate a more nuanced relationship between policy and child well-being. Despite increased birth rates among abortion-restricted cohorts, we find little evidence of changes in well-being at birth through the standard channel of child selection, consistent with predictions from a generalized model. However, children in these larger cohorts were more susceptible to mortality from infectious disease throughout childhood, implying different mechanisms linking abortion policy to child well-being.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →