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进退维谷:扩大失业保险福利的成本与收益

Between a rock and a hard place: The costs and benefits of expanded unemployment insurance benefits
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Naser Hamdi、Ankit Kalda、David Sovich

中文摘要

我们考察了美国历史上规模最大的失业保险(UI)福利扩张退出后,对求职、其他政府援助需求和信贷违约的影响。利用与信用记录以及医疗补助(Medicaid)和补充营养援助计划(SNAP)申请数据合并的失业保险行政数据,我们发现,UI 退出导致求职增加,这一效应在可用信贷有限、面临财务约束的个人中最为明显。求职增加带来的成本节约,是以其他政府服务需求增加和违约率上升为代价的。我们的结果凸显了失业保险、家庭财务状况与其他社会保险计划之间的重要交互作用。

Abstract

We examine how the withdrawal of the largest expansion of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits in United States history affected job-finding, demand for other government assistance, and credit defaults. Using administrative UI data merged with credit records and applications for Medicaid and SNAP, we show that UI withdrawal led to an increase in job-finding that was most pronounced among financially constrained individuals with limited available credit. The cost savings from higher job-finding came at the expense of increased demand for other government services and higher defaults. Our results highlight an important interaction between UI, household finances, and other social insurance programs.
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