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大甩卖:东德经济私有化

The big sell: Privatizing East Germany’s economy
Journal of Public Economics · 2025 · Lukas Mergele、Moritz Hennicke、Moritz Lubczyk

中文摘要

脱离共产主义后,东德经历了历史上规模最大的私有化计划。尽管该计划作为经济转型的蓝图引发了全球关注,但其有效性仍存在争议。利用独特的企业层面数据,我们考察了该计划将最具竞争力的企业私有化这一目标。我们发现,基准生产率较高的企业更有可能被私有化、获得更高的成交价格、更常被西德买家收购,并且在20年后更有可能存续下来。通过考察私有化机构的内部运作,我们阐明了政府在设计和实施产业政策目标时面临的挑战及可汲取的经验教训。

Abstract

Departing from communism, East Germany witnessed history’s most extensive privatization program. While the program sparked global interest as a blueprint for economic transformation, its effectiveness remains disputed. Using unique firm-level data, we examine the program’s objective to privatize the most competitive firms. We document that firms with higher baseline productivity are more likely to be privatized, yield higher prices, are more often acquired by West Germans, and are more likely to survive 20 years later. Inspecting the inner workings of the privatization agency, we illustrate challenges and lessons for how governments can design and implement industrial policy goals.
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