Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Elliott Ash、Sergio Galletta、Matteo Pinna、Christopher Warshaw
中文摘要
本文全面评估了2000年至2020年间福克斯新闻频道（FNC）对美国大众政治偏好和投票行为的影响。我们表明，FNC使美国人的意识形态和党派认同向右偏移。过去十年间，这一转变帮助了美国各级政府选举中的共和党候选人。我们的估计表明，由频道位置的外生变化所引致的福克斯新闻收视率上升0.05点，使近期总统、参议院、众议院和州长选举中的共和党得票率至少提高了0.5个百分点。我们的发现对美国的政治行为、选举和政治进程具有广泛意义。• 福克斯新闻的收视使美国人的意识形态和政党认同向右偏移。• 福克斯新闻收视率上升0.05点，使共和党在选举中的得票率提高了0.5个百分点。• 福克斯新闻影响了总统、参议院、众议院和州长选举。
Abstract
This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the effect of Fox News Channel (FNC) on the mass public’s political preferences and voting behavior in the United States from 2000 to 2020. We show that FNC has shifted the ideology and partisan identity of Americans rightward. This shift has helped Republican candidates in elections across levels of U.S. government over the past decade. Our estimates suggests that an increase of 0.05 rating points in Fox News viewership, induced by exogenous changes in channel placement, has increased Republican vote shares by at least 0.5 percentage points in recent presidential, Senate, House, and gubernatorial elections. Our findings have broad implications for political behavior, elections, and the political process in the United States. • Fox News viewership shifted American ideology and party identity rightward. • A 0.05 rise in Fox ratings increased Republican vote shares by 0.5% in elections. • Fox News influenced presidential, Senate, House, and gubernatorial races.