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第二次机会能否带来回报?来自低成绩学生自然实验的证据

Do second chances pay off? Evidence from a natural experiment with low-achieving students
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Aspasia Bizopoulou、Rigissa Megalokonomou、Ştefania Simion

中文摘要

在一些国家,未能通过高中毕业阶段高风险考试的学生面临重考或放弃接受高等教育的选择。我们利用希腊一项为进入高等教育设定成绩门槛的政策所产生的外生变异,估计重考对考试成绩以及所获录取通知书质量的多项指标的影响。利用模糊断点回归设计和新颖的行政数据,我们发现,重考全国考试的低成绩学生将其成绩提高了约0.6个标准差。我们还发现,得益于成绩提高以及再次申请时作出更具进取性的选择,他们获得了质量更高的高等教育录取通知书。

Abstract

In several countries, students who fail high-stakes exams at the end of high school are faced with the choice of retaking or forgoing postsecondary education. We explore exogenous variation generated by a policy that imposed a performance threshold for admission into postsecondary education in Greece to estimate the effect of retaking exams on the exam performance and various measures of the quality of received offers. Using a fuzzy regression discontinuity design and novel administrative data, we find that low-achieving students who retake national exams improve their performance by around 0.6 standard deviation. We also find that they obtain higher quality postsecondary offers, thanks to improved performance and more ambitious re-application choices.
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