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育儿假的分配:经验证据与政策设计

The division of parental leave: Empirical evidence and policy design
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Thomas Høgholm Jørgensen、Jakob Egholt Søgaard

中文摘要

我们研究育儿假制度设计的若干关键方面。首先,我们利用丹麦近19万例新生儿家庭的育儿假分配行政数据,结合育儿假福利制度所造成的经济激励的急剧变化,估计父母对育儿假的支付意愿。我们发现了强烈行为反应的证据,表现为在折点处显著聚集,同时父母愿意为传统性别模式的休假分配(即父亲很少休假或不休假)支付代价。其次,我们提供了一系列反事实政策模拟,结果显示专属育儿假、替代率与育儿假福利期限之间存在显著的交互效应。对于近期一项欧盟指令的实施而言,提高替代率会显著增强父亲对专属育儿假的行为反应。最后,我们讨论了旨在增加父亲育儿假使用量的不同政策所产生的福利效应。

Abstract

We study several key aspects of the design of parental leave systems. First, we estimate parents’ willingness to pay for parental leave using Danish administrative data on the division of leave from almost 190,000 births combined with sharp variation in economic incentives created by the parental leave benefit system. We find evidence of both strong behavioral responses with significant bunching at kink points and a willingness to pay for a gender-traditional allocation of leave, where fathers take little or no leave. Second, we provide a menu of counterfactual policy simulations showing substantial interaction effects between earmarked leave, replacement rates and the duration of leave benefits. Relevant for the implementation of a recent EU directive, a higher replacement rate significantly increases the behavioral response of fathers to earmarked leave. Finally, we discuss the welfare effects of different policies aimed at increasing the parental leave of fathers.
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