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更上一层楼?乌拉圭大规模住房抽签的影响

Movin’ on up? The impacts of a large-scale housing lottery in Uruguay
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Vincent Armentano、Craig McIntosh、Felipe Monestier、Rafael Piñeiro-Rodríguez、Fernando Rosenblatt、Guadalupe Tuñón

中文摘要

我们报告了乌拉圭一项大规模城市重新安置项目。在该项目下,数千户中低收入家庭在七年间被随机分配获得位于更中心区域新建公寓的所有权,并获得户均44,000美元的补贴。我们将申请者与搬迁后十年间有关就业、就学、生育和投票的综合行政数据进行匹配。我们发现,该项目使女性生育率小幅下降,并使正规就业率提高了2个百分点,但并未影响入学就读。该重新安置项目并未给受益者的生活带来变革性改善,这可能是因为项目设有最低收入要求,且乌拉圭不存在显著的空间不平等。

Abstract

We report on a large-scale urban resettlement program in Uruguay. Under the program, thousands of low- to middle-income households were randomly assigned over the course of seven years to ownership of apartments in new buildings in more central areas and received a subsidy averaging $44,000 per household. We match applicants to comprehensive administrative data on employment, schooling, fertility, and voting over the decade after the move. We find that the program led to a small decline in fertility for women and a two-percentage-point increase in formal employment but did not affect school attendance. The relocation program did not result in transformative improvements in the lives of its beneficiaries, likely because of its minimum income requirements and the lack of strong spatial inequality in Uruguay.
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