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退休之谜:来自个人财务的新证据

Retirement puzzles: New evidence from personal finances
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Arna Olafsson、Michaela Pagel

中文摘要

利用全面的交易层面面板数据,我们发现,个人退休后会偿还消费债务并增加储蓄。这些发现令人费解,因为原则上,人们应当在退休导致的预期收入下降之前而非之后增加储蓄。我们讨论了这些发现的若干潜在解释,包括与工作相关的支出减少以及退休前后医疗健康风险的上升,这些也是所谓退休—消费之谜和退休—储蓄之谜的主要解释。由此,我们为个人是否为退休储蓄充足这一更广泛的问题提供了参考。

Abstract

Using comprehensive transaction-level panel data, we document that individuals repay their consumer debt and save more after they retire. These findings are puzzling because, in principle, people should save more before, rather than after, the expected decrease in income upon retirement. We discuss several potential explanations for our findings, including reductions in work-related expenses and increases in medical health risks around retirement, which are the leading explanations of the so-called retirement-consumption and retirement-savings puzzles. We thereby inform the larger question of whether individuals save enough for retirement.
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