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选民损失厌恶与不完全记忆下的动态选举竞争

Dynamic electoral competition with voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Ben Lockwood、Minh Le、James Rockey

中文摘要

本文在一个简单的重复选举唐斯模型中,探讨选民的损失厌恶与不完全记忆对选举竞争动态的影响。中位选民的参照点与政党的政纲选择相互作用,在政党意识形态发生初始转变后,形成一个(去)极化的动态过程。这与美国国会长期极化趋势呈渐进变化的特征一致。

Abstract

This paper explores the implications of voter loss-aversion and imperfect recall for the dynamics of electoral competition in a simple Downsian model of repeated elections. The interplay between the median voter’s reference point and political parties’ choice of platforms generates a dynamic process of (de)polarization, following an initial shift in party ideology. This is consistent with the gradual nature of long-term trends in polarization in the US Congress.
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