Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Ria Ivandic、Tom Kirchmaier、Yasaman Saeidi、Neus Torres Blas
中文摘要
我们研究了酒精和情绪在解释重大足球比赛后家庭暴力动态变化中的作用。我们将大曼彻斯特地区保密且独特详细的个人呼叫数据与八年间的足球比赛时间相匹配,以估计其对家庭暴力的效应。我们发现,一场足球比赛改变了全天虐待的动态。我们首先观察到,在2小时比赛期间事件发生减少,表明足球与家庭暴力之间存在替代效应。然而,在初始减少之后以及比赛结束后,家庭暴力开始增加,并在比赛后约十小时达到峰值。我们发现,这些效应在早场比赛中最强,且由饮酒的男性施暴者驱动。我们发现,足球比赛导致动态从一天中较早时段向较晚时段转变,这与位移效应一致;但在比赛较早且施暴者饮酒的情况下,足球比赛会导致虐待的累积增加。未发现意外的比赛结果会对家庭暴力动态产生不同影响。
Abstract
We study the role of alcohol and emotions in explaining the dynamics in domestic abuse following major football games. We match confidential and uniquely detailed individual call data from Greater Manchester with the timing of football matches over a period of eight years to estimate the effect on domestic abuse. We find that a football game changes the dynamics of abuse throughout the day. We first observe a decrease in incidents during the 2-hour duration of the game suggesting a substitution effect of football and domestic abuse. However, following the initial decrease, and after the game, domestic abuse starts increasing and peaks about ten hours after the game. We find that these effects are the strongest for early games and are driven by male perpetrators that had consumed alcohol. We find that football games lead to changing the dynamics from earlier to later periods in the day consistent with displacement effects, yet in the case when games are early and the perpetrator is alcoholized, football games lead to a cumulative increase in abuse. Unexpected game results are not found to differently affect domestic abuse dynamics.