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收入效应与劳动供给:来自儿童福利改革的证据

Income effects and labour supply: Evidence from a child benefits reform
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Mathias Fjællegaard Jensen、Jack Blundell

中文摘要

本文利用丹麦儿童福利制度一次独特且出人意料的改革,评估儿童福利对父母劳动供给的影响。2011年实施的儿童福利支付上限,使有年幼子女的较大家庭所获儿童福利出现了不可忽视的减少,而较小家庭的儿童福利则保持不变。该政策的差异化影响为评估儿童福利计划对母亲和父亲劳动供给的因果影响提供了契机。运用双重差分策略,我们发现福利减少导致母亲的劳动供给大幅增加。母亲在集约边际和广延边际上均对该政策作出反应,其中广延边际的反应强于集约边际;在控制与生育相关的家庭特征后,这一效应依然存在。为固定处理组与对照组在生育更多子女偏好上的差异,我们使用了父母就绝育问题进行医疗咨询的数据——绝育在丹麦是一种常见的医疗程序。

Abstract

In this paper, we exploit a unique and unexpected reform to the child benefit system in Denmark to assess the effects of child benefits on parental labour supply. A cap on child benefit payments in 2011 led to a non-negligible reduction in child benefits for larger families with young children while leaving child benefits for smaller families unchanged. The differential impact of this policy represents an opportunity to assess the causal impact of child benefit programmes on the labour supply of mothers and fathers. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that the reduction in benefits leads to a substantial increase in the labour supply of mothers. Mothers respond to the policy at both the intensive and extensive margins, with the latter outweighing the former, and the effect persists after controlling for fertility-related family characteristics. To fix preferences for additional children across treatment and control groups, we use data on parents’ medical consultations on sterilisation, a common procedure in Denmark.
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