归途过半？过渡性集体住所与再次入狱

中文摘要

每年有数十万人获释出狱。对许多人而言，重返社会的过渡阶段包括强制入住过渡性集体住所。我使用爱荷华州的行政数据，估计过渡性集体住所对再次入狱的影响。为处理进入过渡性集体住所的选择问题，我以随机分配的个案管理员的推荐率作为入住安排的工具变量。我没有发现证据表明，与假释相比，爱荷华州对过渡性集体住所的高成本投入减少了再次入狱。相反，过渡性集体住所增加了因暴力犯罪和技术性违规而再次入狱的情况，同时减少了毒品犯罪和妨害公共秩序犯罪。（JEL K42、R23、R31、R38）

Abstract

Every year, hundreds of thousands of people are released from prison. For many, the transition back to society includes a mandatory stay in residential housing. I estimate the effect of residential housing on reincarceration using administrative data from Iowa. I address selection into residential housing by instrumenting for residential housing assignment with the recommendation rate of randomly assigned case managers. I find no evidence that Iowa’s costly investment in residential housing results in reduced reincarceration relative to parole. Instead, residential housing increases reincarceration due to violent crimes and technical violations, while decreasing drug and public order crimes. (JEL K42, R23, R31, R38)