← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

跨国恐怖主义招募:来自“达伊什”人员档案的证据

Transnational Terrorist Recruitment: Evidence from Daesh Personnel Records
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2022 · Anne Brockmeyer、Quy‐Toan Do、Clément Joubert、Kartika Bhatia、Mohamed Abdel Jelil

中文摘要

全球性恐怖组织跨境吸引激进化个体,对人员输出国和接收国均构成威胁。我们利用“伊拉克和黎凡特伊斯兰国”(达伊什)独有的人员档案,证明输出国的失业率与来自这些国家的跨国恐怖主义招募人数相关。这一关系在空间上具有异质性,最合理的解释是旅行成本。我们认为,较差的劳动力市场机会通常会促使更多人加入恐怖组织,但与此同时,当更远的旅行距离意味着更高的旅行成本时,也会限制他们加入恐怖组织的能力。

Abstract

Abstract Global terrorist organizations attract radicalized individuals across borders and constitute a threat for both sending and receiving countries. We use unique personnel records from the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (Daesh) to show that unemployment in sending countries is associated with the number of transnational terrorist recruits from these countries. The relationship is spatially heterogeneous, which is most plausibly attributable to travel costs. We argue that poor labor market opportunities generally push more individuals to join terrorist organizations, but at the same time, limit their ability to do so when longer travel distances imply higher travel costs.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →