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残障保险收入挽救生命

Disability Insurance Income Saves Lives
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Alexander Gelber、Timothy Moore、Zhuan Pei、Alexander Strand

中文摘要

我们表明,美国社会保障残障保险(DI)支付金额的提高会降低死亡率。利用新增DI受益人的行政数据,我们通过回归弯折设计,利用给付计算公式中的不连续性进行识别。我们估计,年度DI支付每增加1,000美元,较低收入受益人的年死亡率将下降约0.18—0.35个百分点,这意味着死亡率相对于DI收入的弹性约为−0.6至−1.0。我们未发现DI收入对较高收入受益人死亡率产生影响的稳健证据。

Abstract

We show that higher payments from US Social Security Disability Insurance (DI) reduce mortality. Using administrative data on new DI beneficiaries, we exploit discontinuities in the benefit formula through a regression kink design. We estimate that $1,000 more in annual DI payments decreases the annual mortality rate of lower-income beneficiaries by approximately 0.18–0.35 percentage points, implying an elasticity of mortality with respect to DI income of around −0.6 to −1.0. We find no robust evidence of an effect of DI income on the mortality of higher-income beneficiaries.
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