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区域贸易协定中环境条款的有效性

The Effectiveness of Environmental Provisions in Regional Trade Agreements
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Ryan Abman、Clark Lundberg、Michèle Ruta

中文摘要

贸易自由化可能加剧环境退化。对这些不利影响的担忧引发了关于区域贸易协定(RTA)中是否有必要纳入环境条款的争论;然而,此类条款的有效性尚不明确。本文提供了新的、具有合理因果解释的证据,表明环境条款能够有效限制区域贸易协定生效后的森林砍伐。我们利用基于卫星数据得出的高分辨率森林砍伐估计值,并使用一个包含各项条款详细信息的新数据集来识别区域贸易协定的内容。在考虑区域贸易协定中环境条款的潜在内生性后,我们发现,纳入旨在保护森林和/或生物多样性的具体条款,几乎完全抵消了未纳入此类条款的类似区域贸易协定中观察到的森林损失净增量。这些影响在生物多样性更丰富的热带发展中国家尤为强烈。纳入这些条款限制了农业扩张和农产品贸易。

Abstract

Abstract Trade liberalization can spur environmental degradation. Concerns over these adverse impacts have led to a debate over the need for environmental provisions in regional trade agreements (RTAs); however, the effectiveness of such provisions is unknown. In this paper, we provide new plausibly causal evidence that environmental provisions are effective in limiting deforestation following the entry into force of RTAs. We exploit high resolution, satellite-derived estimates of deforestation, and identify the content of RTAs using a new dataset with detailed information on individual provisions. Accounting for the potential endogeneity of environmental provisions in RTAs, we find that the inclusion of specific provisions aimed at protecting forests and/or biodiversity almost entirely offsets the net increases in forest loss observed in similar RTAs without such provisions. The effects are particularly strong in tropical, developing countries with greater biodiversity. The inclusion of these provisions limits agricultural expansion and agricultural trade.
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