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增长放缓与租金上升的理论

A Theory of Falling Growth and Rising Rents
Review of Economic Studies · 2023 · Philippe Aghion、Antonin Bergeaud、Timo Boppart、Peter J. Klenow、Huiyu Li

中文摘要

在美国,企业集中度上升的同时增长却在放缓。市场份额向劳动份额较低的企业转移,而企业内部的劳动份额实际上却在上升。我们提出一个将这些趋势联系起来的理论,其驱动力在于跨多个产品经营的间接费用下降,或大企业效率优势的上升。作为回应,效率最高的企业(加成率较高)向新的产品线扩张,从而提高了集中度并带来暂时的增长爆发。最终,由于来自高效率企业的竞争加剧,企业内部的加成率与创新激励下降。因此,我们这个简单的模型能够生成与所观察到的趋势相一致的定性模式。

Abstract

Abstract Growth has fallen in the U.S. amid a rise in firm concentration. Market share has shifted to low labour share firms, while within-firm labour shares have actually risen. We propose a theory linking these trends in which the driving force is falling overhead costs of spanning multiple products or a rising efficiency advantage of large firms. In response, the most efficient firms (with higher markups) spread into new product lines, thereby increasing concentration and generating a temporary burst of growth. Eventually, due to greater competition from efficient firms, within-firm markups and incentives to innovate fall. Thus our simple model can generate qualitative patterns in line with the observed trends.
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