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利润、规模经济与贸易及产业政策的收益

Profits, Scale Economies, and the Gains from Trade and Industrial Policy
American Economic Review · 2023 · Ahmad Lashkaripour、Volodymyr Lugovskyy

中文摘要

本文考察次优贸易限制在纠正规模经济或产生利润的加成定价所导致的部门间资源错配方面的有效性。为此,我们刻画了一类重要的、具有规模效应和利润的量化贸易模型中的最优贸易政策与产业政策,并估计了决定政策结果的结构参数。我们的估计表明,即使经过最优设计,单独实施的贸易政策措施在纠正资源错配方面也极为无效。由于存在贫困化增长效应,单方面采取纠正性产业政策同样无效。然而,通过深度协定在国际层面协调实施的产业政策,比任何单边政策替代方案都更具变革性。(JEL F12、F13、F14、L52、O19、O25)

Abstract

This paper examines the efficacy of second-best trade restrictions at correcting sectoral misallocation due to scale economies or profit-generating markups. To this end, we characterize optimal trade and industrial policies in an important class of quantitative trade models with scale effects and profits, estimating the structural parameters that govern policy outcomes. Our estimates reveal that standalone trade policy measures are remarkably ineffective at correcting mis-allocation, even when designed optimally. Unilateral adoption of corrective industrial policies is also ineffective due to immiserizing growth effects. But industrial policies coordinated internationally via a deep agreement are more transformative than any unilateral policy alternative. (JEL F12, F13,14. L52, O19, O25)
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