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保留席位与恐惧政治

Reservations and the politics of fear
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Siwan Anderson、Patrick François

中文摘要

为某一特定群体(通常是弱势群体)的成员保留政治职位,是世界许多地区常见的一种政治配额形式。已有研究表明,这种做法改善了保留群体获得分配性资源的机会,但人们常常推测(且在某些情形下已有证据表明),其代价是治理质量的下降。我们构建了一个理论模型,说明与此相反,如果政治配额削弱了村庄领导人对权力的掌控,使其对支持者更加负责,那么它可以改善治理。该模型提出了一组严密的预测,说明何时应当预期治理得到改善、何时不应作此预期。我们使用印度马哈拉施特拉邦的农村村庄样本表明,在保留政策下,部分而非全部村庄的治理结果显著改善,且这种改善模式与理论预测相符。

Abstract

Reserving political office for members of a specific, usually disadvantaged, group is a common form of political quota in many parts of the world. This has been shown to improve distributional access in favor of reserved groups, but often conjectured (and shown in some cases) to come at the cost of governance quality. We develop a theoretical model to demonstrate that a political quota can, in contrast, improve governance if it weakens a village leader’s hold on power, making them more accountable to their supporters. The model establishes a tight set of predictions regarding when improvements should be expected to occur, and when not. We show, in a Maharashtrian (India) sample of rural villages, that governance outcomes dramatically improve under reservations for some, but not all, villages, and demonstrate a pattern of improvement that lines up with the predictions of the theory.
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