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居家办公的演变

The Evolution of Work from Home
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2023 · José Barrero、Nicholas Bloom、Steven J. Davis

中文摘要

截至2023年中期,在20至64岁的美国人中,全天的居家办公日占带薪工作日的28%。这大约是2019年水平的四倍,是1990年代中期水平的十倍。我们首先解释为何向居家办公的大规模转变得以持续,而非回落至疫情前水平。随后,我们考察居家办公率如何随劳动者年龄、性别、教育程度、父母身份、行业及当地人口密度而变化,以及为何美国的该比率高于其他国家。我们还讨论了其对薪酬、生产率及创新步伐的若干影响。未来五年,美国企业高管预期其所在公司的居家办公率将小幅上升。其他预示着向居家办公的持久转变的因素包括管理实践的持续调整,以及支持远程工作的技术、产品和工具的进一步进步。

Abstract

Full days worked at home account for 28 percent of paid workdays among Americans 20–64 years old, as of mid-2023. That’s about four times the 2019 rate and ten times the rate in the mid-1990s. We first explain why the big shift to work from home has endured rather than reverting to prepandemic levels. We then consider how work-from-home rates vary by worker age, sex, education, parental status, industry and local population density, and why it is higher in the United States than other countries. We also discuss some implications for pay, productivity, and the pace of innovation. Over the next five years, US business executives anticipate modest increases in work-from-home rates at their own companies. Other factors that portend an enduring shift to work from home include the ongoing adaptation of managerial practices and further advances in technologies, products, and tools that support remote work.
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