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最低工资能帮助贫困和低收入家庭的劳动者吗?

Do Minimum Wages Help Worker in Poor and Low-Income Families?
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · David Neumark、Emma Wohl

中文摘要

我们使用对低收入家庭进行过度抽样的收入与项目参与调查(SIPP)数据,首次直接估计了最低工资对处于收入需求比分布不同位置的家庭中低工资劳动者所产生的影响。我们发现,最低工资对贫困和低收入家庭中初始有工作的低工资劳动者的就业、工作时长和收入产生了不利——而非有利——影响。尽管我们并未发现表明最低工资对最贫困的低工资劳动者影响更为不利的梯度,但其对贫困和低收入家庭中低工资劳动者的不利影响,有助于解释最低工资为何未能减少贫困。

Abstract

We provide the first direct estimates of the effects of minimum wages on low-wage workers in families at different points of the distribution of income-to-needs, using data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, which oversamples low-income families. We find adverse – rather than beneficial – effects of minimum wages on the employment, hours, and earnings of initially-employed low-wage workers in poor and low-income families. Although we do not find a gradient indicating more adverse effects on the poorest low-wage workers, the adverse effects for poor and low-income low-wage workers help explain why minimum wages do not reduce poverty.
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