Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2020 · Sergei Guriev、Nikita Melnikov、Ekaterina Zhuravskaya
中文摘要
移动宽带互联网如何影响政府支持度？利用2008年至2017年间盖洛普世界民意调查对116个国家2,232个次国家级地区840,537名个体的调查数据，以及3G移动网络在全球的扩张，我们表明，平均而言，移动宽带互联网接入的增加会降低政府支持度。这一效应仅在互联网未受审查时存在，并且在传统媒体受到审查时更强。3G有助于揭露政府中的实际腐败：巴拿马文件及其他腐败事件的曝光，在3G网络覆盖地区转化为更高的腐败感知。选民的幻灭情绪产生了选举影响。在欧洲，3G的扩张导致执政党得票份额下降，并使反建制民粹主义反对党的得票份额上升。非民粹主义反对党的得票份额不受3G扩张的影响。
Abstract
Abstract How does mobile broadband internet affect approval of government? Using Gallup World Poll surveys of 840,537 individuals from 2,232 subnational regions in 116 countries from 2008 to 2017 and the global expansion of 3G mobile networks, we show that on average, an increase in mobile broadband internet access reduces government approval. This effect is present only when the internet is not censored, and it is stronger when the traditional media are censored. 3G helps expose actual corruption in government: revelations of the Panama Papers and other corruption incidents translate into higher perceptions of corruption in regions covered by 3G networks. Voter disillusionment had electoral implications. In Europe, 3G expansion led to lower vote shares for incumbent parties and higher vote shares for the antiestablishment populist opposition. Vote shares for nonpopulist opposition parties were unaffected by 3G expansion.