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回流迁移决策与收入下降

Return Migration Decisions and Declining Earnings
Journal of Human Resources · 2024 · [{"name": "Randall Akee", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Maggie R. Jones", "affiliation": []}]

中文摘要

摘要:利用一套关于近期赴美移民(2005—2007年)的新型面板数据集——该数据集由美国人口普查局个体层面的关联数据与国内税务署(IRS)记录构建而成——我们衡量了回流迁移对移民收入增长与收入同化的影响。我们发现,在抵达10年后,近40%的近期移民已经回流。我们首次表明,回流移民在其回流迁移前的两至三年间经历了收入的向下流动;这表明收入下降与移民的离境决策密切相关。

Abstract

<h3>Abstract</h3> Using a novel panel data set of recent immigrants to the U.S. (2005–2007) from individual-level linked U.S. Census Bureau data and Internal Revenue Service records, we measure the impact of return migration on immigrants’ earnings growth and earnings assimilation. We show that by 10 years after arrival almost 40 percent of recent immigrants have return migrated. We show, for the first time, that return migrants experience downward earnings mobility over two to three years prior to their return migration; suggesting that declining earnings are closely related to emigration decisions.
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