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无现金化会让政府税收更充裕吗?来自印度废钞实验的证据

Does going cashless make you tax-rich? Evidence from India’s demonetization experiment
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Satadru Das、Lucie Gadenne、Tushar K. Nandi、Ross Warwick

中文摘要

本文研究印度废钞政策对税收遵从的影响,该政策在短期内限制了现金的可获得性。利用企业纳税申报的行政数据以及不同地区废钞冲击强度的差异,我们发现,废钞政策提高了向税务机关申报的销售额和税款缴纳额。在考察作用机制时,我们表明,废钞政策导致电子支付方式的使用大幅增加。我们认为,这很可能增强了税务机关识别纳税义务并强制税收遵从的能力。

Abstract

This paper investigates the tax compliance effects of India’s demonetization policy, which limited cash availability for a short period of time. Using administrative data on firms’ tax returns and variation in the strength of the demonetization shock across local areas, we find that demonetization increased sales reported to the tax authorities and tax payments. Investigating mechanisms, we show that demonetization led to a large increase in the use of electronic forms of payments. We argue that this likely strengthened tax authorities’ capacity to observe tax liabilities and enforce compliance.
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