American Economic Review · 2023 · Joseph Abadi、Markus K. Brunnermeier、Yann Koby
中文摘要
反转利率是指宽松货币政策发生反转并对贷款产生紧缩性影响的利率水平。我们在一个包含面临金融摩擦的不完全竞争银行的宏观经济模型中,从理论上证明了其存在性。当利率被降得过低时,进一步的货币刺激会侵蚀银行的利润率,压低其净值并削减其信贷供给。类似地,当利率过低持续时间过长时,对银行盈利能力的持续拖累最终会超过银行初始的资本利得,同样会抑制信贷供给。我们在一个校准的新凯恩斯模型中量化了这一机制的重要性。(JEL E12, E32, E43, E44, E52, G21, L25)
Abstract
The reversal interest rate is the rate at which accommodative monetary policy reverses and becomes contractionary for lending. We theoretically demonstrate its existence in a macroeconomic model featuring imperfectly competitive banks that face financial frictions. When interest rates are cut too low, further monetary stimulus cuts into banks’ profit margins, depressing their net worth and curtailing their credit supply. Similarly, when interest rates are low for too long, the persistent drag on bank profitability eventually outweighs banks’ initial capital gains, also stifling credit supply. We quantify the importance of this mechanism within a calibrated New Keynesian model. (JEL E12, E32, E43, E44, E52, G21, L25)