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最高财富份额增长的分解

Decomposing the Growth of Top Wealth Shares
Econometrica · 2023 · Matthieu Gomez

中文摘要

是什么驱动了最高财富不平等的动态变化?为回答这一问题,我提出了一个核算框架,将最高百分位人群所拥有的总财富份额的增长分解为三项:组内项,即期初处于最高百分位的个体相对于整体经济的平均财富增长;组间项,即个体因相对财富排名变化而进入或退出最高百分位所产生的部分;以及人口项,即个体因死亡和人口增长而进入或退出最高百分位所产生的部分。我针对广泛的一类随机增长模型,推导出了各项的闭式表达式。来自《福布斯》400富豪榜的证据表明,组间项解释了近期最高财富不平等上升的一半。

Abstract

What drives the dynamics of top wealth inequality? To answer this question, I propose an accounting framework that decomposes the growth of the share of aggregate wealth owned by a top percentile into three terms: a within term, which is the average wealth growth of individuals initially in the top percentile relative to the economy; a between term, which accounts for individuals entering and exiting the top percentile due to changes in their relative wealth rankings; and a demography term, which accounts for individuals entering or exiting the top percentile due to death and population growth. I obtain closed‐form expressions for each term in a wide range of random growth models. Evidence from the Forbes 400 list suggests that the between term accounts for half of the recent rise in top wealth inequality.
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