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重新绘制全球资本流动版图:跨境融资与避税地的作用

Redrawing the Map of Global Capital Flows: The Role of Cross-Border Financing and Tax Havens
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2021 · Antonio Coppola、Matteo Maggiori、Brent Neiman、Jesse Schreger

中文摘要

全球企业通过外国子公司(往往是避税地的壳公司)为自己融资,这掩盖了它们在官方统计中的真实经济区位。我们将避税地企业发行的所有交易证券与其发行者的最终母公司相关联,并重新表述双边投资头寸,以更好地反映连接世界各国间的金融联系。从发达国家到大型新兴市场企业的双边组合投资比此前认为的要大得多。例如,美国的国民账户将美国在中国企业中的头寸低估了近6000亿美元。此外,我们论证了避税地的离岸发行如何影响我们对外部组合负债的货币构成以及外国直接投资性质的理解。最后,我们提供了对双边投资头寸的额外重新表述,其中包括一种基于销售额地理分布的重新表述。

Abstract

Abstract Global firms finance themselves through foreign subsidiaries, often shell companies in tax havens, which obscures their true economic location in official statistics. We associate the universe of traded securities issued by firms in tax havens with their issuer's ultimate parent and restate bilateral investment positions to better reflect the financial linkages connecting countries around the world. Bilateral portfolio investment from developed countries to firms in large emerging markets is dramatically larger than previously thought. The national accounts of the United States, for example, understate the U.S. position in Chinese firms by nearly $600 billion. Further, we demonstrate how offshore issuance in tax havens affects our understanding of the currency composition of external portfolio liabilities and the nature of foreign direct investment. Finally, we provide additional restatements of bilateral investment positions, including one based on the geographic distribution of sales.
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