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不可保险的个体收入风险模型中的最优财政政策

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk
Review of Economic Studies · 2022 · Sebastian Dyrda、Marcelo Pedroni

中文摘要

本文在一个存在不可保险的个体收入风险的标准不完全市场模型中研究最优财政政策,其中拉姆齐规划者选择随时间变化的资本收入税和劳动收入税比例税率路径、一次性转移支付(或税收)以及政府债务。我们发现:(1)短期资本收入税能够有效发挥再分配作用,因为其税基相对不平等且缺乏弹性;(2)劳动收入税随时间递增的模式可缓解资本收入税造成的跨期扭曲;(3)最优政策使整体转移支付(最初按美国福利制度校准)增加约50%;(4)三分之二的福利增益来自再分配,其余三分之一主要来自保险;(5)再分配还通过财富效应对劳动供给的影响,使劳动配置更有效率——生产率较低的家庭有能力相对少工作一些。

Abstract

Abstract We study optimal fiscal policy in a standard incomplete-markets model with uninsurable idiosyncratic income risk, where a Ramsey planner chooses time-varying paths of proportional capital and labour income taxes, lump-sum transfers (or taxes), and government debt. We find that (1) short-run capital income taxes are effective in providing redistribution since the tax base is relatively unequal and inelastic; (2) an increasing pattern of labour income taxes over time mitigates intertemporal distortions from capital income taxes; (3) the optimal policy increases overall transfers, calibrated initially to the US welfare system, by roughly $50\%$; (4) two-thirds of the welfare gains come from redistribution and the remaining third come mostly from insurance; and (5) redistribution also leads to a more efficient allocation of labour via wealth effects on labour supply—lower productivity households can afford to work relatively less.
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