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福利金隔离管理对原住民社区学生出勤率的影响

The Effect of Quarantining Welfare on School Attendance in Indigenous Communities
Journal of Human Resources · 2021 · Deborah A. Cobb‐Clark、Nathan Kettlewell、Stefanie Schurer、Sven Silburn

中文摘要

我们利用福利金隔离管理在不同社区推行过程中的外生变异,识别其对原住民儿童学校出勤率的因果影响。我们发现,在最初五个月,收入隔离管理使出勤率平均下降了4.7个百分点。出勤率最终恢复至初始水平,但从未得到改善。出勤率下降并非通过学生入学人数、地理流动性或其他政策举措的变化产生。相反,我们证明,经济上的扰动可能是学校出勤率暂时下降的原因。补充分析表明,该政策的推行可能加剧了家庭不和。

Abstract

We identify the causal impact of quarantining welfare payments on Aboriginal children's school attendance by exploiting exogenous variation in its rollout across communities. We find that income quarantining reduced attendance by 4.7 percent on average in the first five months. Attendance eventually returned to its initial level, but never improved. The attendance penalty does not operate through changes in student enrollments, geographic mobility, or other policy initiatives. Instead, we demonstrate that financial disruption may be responsible for the temporary reduction in school attendance. Supplemental analysis suggests that the policy rollout may have increased family discord.
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