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机器人与就业:来自日本1978–2017年的证据

Robots and Employment: Evidence from Japan, 1978–2017
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · Daisuke Adachi、Daiji Kawaguchi、Yukiko Saito

中文摘要

本文基于一个能够计算机器人单位价格的独特数据集,研究了日本工业机器人与就业之间的关系。我们的模型将标准要素需求理论与近期的任务型方法相结合,推导出机器人价格与就业之间的简单估计方程,且我们的识别策略利用了跨行业的机器人应用异质性以及跨应用的价格变化异质性。我们发现,机器人价格的下降通过提高采用机器人行业的生产率和生产规模,同时增加了机器人的数量和就业。

Abstract

This paper studies the relationship between industrial robots and employment in Japan on the basis of a unique dataset that allows us to calculate the unit price of robots. Our model combines standard factor demand theory with a recent task-based approach to derive a simple estimation equation between robot prices and employment, and our identification strategy leverages heterogeneous applications of robots across industries and heterogeneous price changes across applications. We find that the decline in robot prices increased both the number of robots and employment by raising the productivity and production scale of robot-adopting industries.
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