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美国商业活力何以衰退?

What Happened to US Business Dynamism?
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Ufuk Akcigit、Sina T. Ates

中文摘要

我们试图通过一个具有微观基础的内生企业动态一般均衡模型,理解美国经济中市场集中度上升与商业活力放缓背后潜在的共同驱动力。该模型刻画了竞争企业间的策略行为、其对创新决策的影响,以及由此产生的“最优者与其余者”动态。我们考察了多种可能驱动所观察变化的机制,并使用校准后的模型评估其相对重要性,特别关注其蕴含的转型动态。我们的结果凸显了前沿企业向落后企业知识扩散强度下降的主导作用。我们提供了新的证据,印证了经济中知识扩散的减弱。

Abstract

We attempt to understand potential common forces behind rising market concentration and a slowdown in business dynamism in the US economy, through a micro-founded general equilibrium model of endogenous firm dynamics. The model captures the strategic behavior between competing firms, its effect on their innovation decisions, and the resulting “best-versus-the-rest” dynamics. We consider multiple potential mechanisms that can drive the observed changes and use the calibrated model to assess their relative importance, with particular attention to the implied transitional dynamics. Our results highlight the dominant role of a decline in the intensity of knowledge diffusion from frontier firms to laggard ones. We present new evidence that corroborates a declining knowledge diffusion in the economy.
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