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货币政策、再分配与风险溢价

Monetary Policy, Redistribution, and Risk Premia
Econometrica · 2022 · Rohan Kekre、Moritz Lenel

中文摘要

我们在异质性主体新凯恩斯环境下研究了货币政策通过风险溢价的传导。家庭边际风险承担倾向(MPR)的异质性概括了边际上投资组合选择的差异。名义利率的意外降低向高MPR家庭进行再分配,降低了风险溢价并放大了对实体经济的刺激。在定量上,该机制为关于未来超额回报的消息在驱动股票市场对货币政策冲击反应中的作用提供了合理解释,并将其实际效应放大了1.3–1.4倍。

Abstract

We study the transmission of monetary policy through risk premia in a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian environment. Heterogeneity in households' marginal propensity to take risk (MPR) summarizes differences in portfolio choice on the margin. An unexpected reduction in the nominal interest rate redistributes to households with high MPRs, lowering risk premia and amplifying the stimulus to the real economy. Quantitatively, this mechanism rationalizes the role of news about future excess returns in driving the stock market response to monetary policy shocks and amplifies their real effects by 1.3–1.4 times.
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