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汽车市场中的消费者搜寻与价格

Consumer Search and Prices in the Automobile Market
Review of Economic Studies · 2022 · José L. Moraga‐González、Zsolt Sándor、Matthijs R. Wildenbeest

中文摘要

本文构建了一个具有最优序贯消费者搜寻的离散选择需求模型。消费者首先选择一个产品进行搜寻;然后,一旦他们获知从被搜寻产品中得到的效用,便选择是购买该产品还是继续搜寻。我们将搜寻问题刻画为一个标准的离散选择问题,并提出一种参数化搜寻成本分布,从而生成购买某产品概率的闭式表达式。我们提出了一种估计该模型的方法,该方法用个体特定数据补充加总产品数据,使得搜寻成本与偏好得以分别识别。我们使用汽车行业数据估计了该模型,发现搜寻成本对弹性和加成具有不可忽略的影响。我们研究了排他性交易规制的效果,发现企业以牺牲消费者利益为代价而获益,与使用多品牌经销商的情形相比,消费者面临更高的搜寻成本和更高的价格。

Abstract

Abstract This article develops a discrete choice model of demand with optimal sequential consumer search. Consumers first choose a product to search; then, once they learn the utility they get from the searched product, they choose whether to buy it or to keep searching. We characterize the search problem as a standard discrete choice problem and propose a parametric search cost distribution that generates closed-form expressions for the probability of purchasing a product. We propose a method to estimate the model that supplements aggregate product data with individual-specific data which allows for the separate identification of search costs and preferences. We estimate the model using data from the automobile industry and find that search costs have non-trivial implications for elasticities and markups. We study the effects of exclusive dealing regulation and find that firms benefit at the expense of consumers, who face higher search costs and higher prices than would be the case if multi-brand dealerships were used.
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