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基础设施成本

Infrastructure Costs
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2023 · Leah Brooks、Zachary D. Liscow

中文摘要

尽管基础设施对美国经济十分重要,但有关其成本随时间变化轨迹的证据却很有限。我们记录了州际公路系统整个发展历程中每新增一英里公路的实际支出。我们发现,从20世纪60年代到80年代,每英里支出增长至原来的三倍以上。即使以既有的、可观测的地理成本决定因素为条件,这一增幅依然存在。随后,我们就其原因提供了提示性证据。投入品价格对这一增幅的解释力很小。从统计上看,收入和住房价格的变化解释了约一半的增幅。我们发现了提示性证据,表明政府决策中“公民发声”的兴起提高了每英里支出。(JEL D72、H54、N42、N72、R31、R42)

Abstract

Despite infrastructure's importance to the US economy, evidence on its cost trajectory over time is sparse. We document real spending per new mile over the history of the Interstate Highway System. We find that spending per mile increased more than threefold from the 1960s to the 1980s. This increase persists even conditional on pre-existing observable geographic cost determinants. We then provide suggestive evidence on why. Input prices explain little of the increase. Statistically, changes in income and housing prices explain about half of the increase. We find suggestive evidence that the rise of “citizen voice” in government decision-making increased spending per mile. (JEL D72, H54, N42, N72, R31, R42)
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