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当外部性相互碰撞:流感与污染

When Externalities Collide: Influenza and Pollution
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2023 · Joshua Graff Zivin、Matthew Neidell、Nicholas Sanders、Gregor Singer

中文摘要

流感和空气污染均会造成重大健康风险,并产生全球性经济后果。二者共同的致病机制构成了外部性相互作用加剧健康风险的一个案例。利用基于风向变化的工具变量,我们发现,同期污染水平上升会增加流感住院人数。我们进一步利用流感疫苗有效性的随机变异作为额外的工具变量,发现疫苗保护能够消除这一关系。因此,污染治理与疫苗接种行动联合实施所产生的回报,高于单独采取其中任一措施所隐含的回报。我们还表明,在解释所观察到的不同种族间流感发病率差距时,考虑这一点十分重要。(JEL D62、I12、J15、Q51、Q53)

Abstract

Influenza and air pollution each pose significant health risks with global economic consequences. Their shared etiological pathways present a case of compounding health risk via interacting externalities. Using instrumental variables based on changing wind direction, we show that increased levels of contemporaneous pollution increase influenza hospitalizations. We exploit random variation in effectiveness of the influenza vaccine as an additional instrument to show that vaccine protection neutralizes this relationship. Thus, pollution control and vaccination campaigns jointly provide greater returns than those implied by addressing either in isolation. We show the importance of this consideration in addressing observed gaps in influenza incidence by race. (JEL D62, I12, J15, Q51, Q53)
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