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全民基本收入的量化评估

A quantitative evaluation of universal basic income
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Juan Carlos Conesa、Bo Li、Qian Li

中文摘要

我们对以全民基本收入(UBI)替代现行家计调查型转移支付制度的影响进行了量化评估。我们考察了不同慷慨程度的UBI,并搭配不同的融资策略。我们所考虑的所有改革都会使绝大多数初始家庭遭受福利损失。此外,这些损失随UBI慷慨程度的提高而增加。与以所得税融资的改革相比,以消费税融资的改革效率损失更低,但从中受益的个人更少。

Abstract

We provide a quantitative evaluation of the impact of Universal Basic Income (UBI) as an alternative to the existing system of means-tested transfers. We explore varying levels of UBI generosity, paired with different strategies to finance it. All the reforms we consider result in welfare losses for a huge majority of initial households. Moreover, these losses are increasing in UBI generosity. A reform financed with consumption taxes implies lower efficiency losses than reforms financed with income taxes, but fewer individuals benefit from it.
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