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难民劳动力市场融入政策的效果比较

Comparing the Effects of Policies for the Labor Market Integration of Refugees
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · Mette Foged、Linea Hasager、Giovanni Peri

中文摘要

本文回顾并重新分析了融合政策对丹麦难民就业概率和收入的估计影响,并将分析拓展至长期。我们首先描述丹麦难民劳动力市场结果的动态变化。随后我们发现,增加语言培训以及将难民最初安置在劳动力市场表现强劲的地区,改善了难民的长期劳动力市场结果;而削减初始福利金以及将难民安置在其他难民附近,则未能改善这些结果。专注于将难民与存在短缺的职业相匹配的政策具有正向的短期效应,但我们目前尚无法评估其长期效应。

Abstract

This paper reviews, reanalyzes, and extends to the long run the estimated effects of integration polices on the employment probability and earnings of refugees in Denmark. We first describe the dynamics of labor market outcomes of refugees in Denmark. We then find that increased language training and initial placement in strong labor markets improved refugees’ long-run labor market outcomes, while cutting initial welfare payments and placing refugees near other refugees did not improve them. Policies focused on matching refugees with occupations experiencing shortages have positive short-run effects, but we cannot yet assess their long-run effects.
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