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全国性最低工资变动的就业与分配影响

The Employment and Distributional Impacts of Nationwide Minimum Wage Changes
Journal of Labor Economics · 2024 · Giulia Giupponi、Robert Joyce、Attila Lindner、Tom Waters、Thomas Wernham、Xiaowei Xu

中文摘要

我们利用工资水平的地理差异,评估全国性最低工资对整个工资分布中就业的影响。我们发现工资分布底部的工资大幅提高,同时检测到对就业存在一个较小的、统计上不显著的负向影响。将估计得到的工资分布变化与税收和福利微观模拟模型相结合,我们表明最低工资在家庭收入分布的中部及以下产生了相当可观的比例性收入增益。

Abstract

We assess the impact of nationwide minimum wages on employment throughout the whole wage distribution by exploiting geographical variation in the level of wages. We find a substantial increase in wages at the bottom of the wage distribution, while we detect a small, statistically insignificant negative effect on employment. Combining the estimated change in the wage distribution with a tax and benefit microsimulation model, we show that the minimum wage generates considerable proportional income gains up to the middle of the household income distribution.
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