2002—2020年失业保险（UI）待遇慷慨程度与劳动供给：来自加利福尼亚州失业保险记录的证据

中文摘要

本文采用回归折点设计和加利福尼亚州20年的行政数据，获得了失业保险（UI）待遇在整个失业期及经济周期中对劳动供给影响的可比估计。在给定失业持续时间的情况下，2002—2019年失业保险待遇水平对劳动供给的行为效应不随经济周期变化。然而，由于待遇领取期限延长扩大了覆盖范围，失业保险待遇的持续时间弹性在经济衰退期间上升。在新冠疫情暴发初期，这一行为效应在所有失业持续时间下均大幅降低。

Abstract

This paper obtains comparable estimates of the effect of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits on labor supply throughout the unemployment spell and over the business cycle using a regression kink design and 20 years of administrative data from California. For a given unemployment duration, the behavioral effect of UI benefit levels on labor supply does not vary with the business cycle from 2002 to 2019. However, due to increased coverage from extensions in benefit durations, the duration elasticity of UI benefits rises during recessions. The behavioral effect during the start of the COVID-19 pandemic is substantially lower at all unemployment durations.