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诱惑与承诺:一种月光族行为模型

Temptation and Commitment: a Model of Hand-to-Mouth Behavior
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2024 · Orazio Attanasio、Agnes Kovacs、Patrick Moran

中文摘要

本文提出了一个消费行为模型,使用一种不同于以往分析的机制来解释“富裕月光族”消费者的存在。我们表明,带有诱惑偏好的两资产模型会产生对承诺的需求,进而导致非流动性,即使流动资产比非流动资产提供更高的回报,也会导致月光族行为。这种对非流动性的偏好对消费行为和财政刺激政策具有重要含义。我们的模型与近期的经验证据相吻合,即即使面对较大的收入冲击,边际消费倾向依然很高,这表明对定向财政刺激的反应比此前认为的更大。

Abstract

Abstract This paper presents a model of consumption behavior that explains the presence of “wealthy hand-to-mouth” consumers using a mechanism that differs from those analyzed previously. We show that a two-asset model with temptation preferences generates a demand for commitment and thus illiquidity, leading to hand-to-mouth behavior even when liquid assets deliver higher returns than illiquid assets. This preference for illiquidity has important implications for consumption behavior and for fiscal stimulus policies. Our model matches the recent empirical evidence that Marginal Propensity to Consume remain high even for large income shocks, suggesting a larger response to targeted fiscal stimulus than previously believed.
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