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宗教随机化:新教传教对经济结果的影响

Randomizing Religion: the Impact of Protestant Evangelism on Economic Outcomes
Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2021 · Gharad Bryan、James J. Choi、Dean Karlan

中文摘要

我们通过对一项面向数千个菲律宾极度贫困家庭的福音派新教基督教价值观与神学教育项目进行随机评估,研究了宗教虔诚度的因果影响。在项目结束六个月后,处理组家庭的宗教虔诚度和收入更高;在总劳动供给、消费、食品安全或生活满意度上无统计显著差异;感知相对经济地位更低。探索性分析表明,收入的处理效应可能通过增加毅力来起作用。在项目结束三十个月后,宗教虔诚度强度上的显著差异消失了,但处理组中的家庭成为天主教徒的可能性较低,成为新教徒的可能性较高,并且有一些混合证据表明他们的消费和感知相对经济地位较高。

Abstract

Abstract We study the causal impact of religiosity through a randomized evaluation of an evangelical Protestant Christian values and theology education program delivered to thousands of ultrapoor Filipino households. Six months after the program ended, treated households have higher religiosity and income; no statistically significant differences in total labor supply, consumption, food security, or life satisfaction; and lower perceived relative economic status. Exploratory analysis suggests that the income treatment effect may operate through increasing grit. Thirty months after the program ended, significant differences in the intensity of religiosity disappear, but those in the treatment group are less likely to be Catholic and more likely to be Protestant, and there is some mixed evidence that their consumption and perceived relative economic status are higher.
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