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从微观发展到宏观发展

From Micro to Macro Development
Journal of Economic Literature · 2023 · Francisco Buera、Joseph P. Kaboski、Robert M. Townsend

中文摘要

宏观经济发展仍是一项重要的政策目标,因为它能够使全体人口摆脱贫困。在对相关文献的综述中,我们强调,实现这一目标的最佳方式是综合运用各种方法和思想,并以实验科学作为贯穿其中的统一特征。随机对照试验需要具有代表性的数据和结构模型,而宏观模型的设计及其约束应以发展中国家经济的现实和数据为依据。宏观经济模型对于收集和分析微观证据、以及进而评估宏观政策具有重要启示。资源约束、异质性、一般均衡效应、贸易障碍、动态因素和规模报酬均可发挥关键作用。面向宏观发展的综合研究已在顺利推进。(JEL C93、D00、E00、O10、O11、O12)

Abstract

Macroeconomic development remains an important policy goal because of its ability to lift entire populations out of poverty. In our review of the literature, we emphasize that the best way to achieve this objective is to embrace a synthesis of methods and ideas, with the science of experiments as a unifying feature. Randomized controlled trials need representative data and structural modeling, and macro models need to be designed and disciplined to the realities and data of developing-country economies. Macroeconomic models have key lessons for gathering and analyzing micro evidence and for moving to an evaluation of macro policy. Resource constraints, heterogeneity, general equilibrium effects, obstacles to trade, dynamics, and returns to scale can all play key roles. A synthesis for macro development is well under way. (JEL C93, D00, E00, O10, O11, O12)
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