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税负归宿异常

Tax Incidence Anomalies
Annual Review of Economics · 2025 · [{"name": "Youssef Benzarti", "affiliation": ["National Bureau of Economic Research", "University of California, Santa Barbara"]}]

中文摘要

本文评述了有关商品税与劳动税税负归宿的文献, 并聚焦于那些明显偏离税负归宿经典模型的经验结果, 我将这类偏离称为"异常"。具体而言, 越来越多的证据正在质疑经典模型的三个基本推论: (a) 法定归宿与经济归宿无关; (b) 需求弹性与供给弹性的相对大小是税负归宿的充分统计量; (c) 税负归宿对于税收增加与减少是对称的。我评述这些经验证据, 并引申其对经典模型相关性的含义。

Abstract

This article reviews the literature on the incidence of commodity and labor taxes and focuses on empirical results that show stark departures from the canonical model of tax incidence, which I refer to as anomalies. In particular, there is mounting evidence questioning three fundamental implications of the canonical model: ( a ) that statutory incidence is irrelevant for economic incidence, ( b ) that the relative magnitude of the demand and supply elasticities is a sufficient statistic for tax incidence, and ( c ) that tax incidence is symmetric for increases and decreases. I review this empirical evidence and draw implications for the canonical model's relevance.
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