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发达国家是否在向外转移污染?

Are Developed Countries Outsourcing Pollution?
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2023 · Arik Levinson

中文摘要

富裕国家是否通过进口污染密集型产品改善了本国环境?并非如此。进口商品的构成已转向来自更清洁行业而非污染更严重行业的产品。贫穷国家为向富裕国家出口而生产商品,是否导致其污染加剧?这要视情况而定。贫穷国家同类行业的排放强度更高,这意味着,即使贸易处于平衡状态,生产相同商品也会在那里造成更多污染。贸易的同比例增长进一步扩大了这一差距。是否应将此视为“向外转移污染”,尚有争议。富裕国家实施的环境法规是否导致了上述前两种变化中的任何一种?并非如此,现有证据并未表明法规会导致污染向外转移。

Abstract

Have rich countries improved their environments by importing polluting goods? No, the mix of goods imported has shifted towards those from cleaner industries, not dirtier. Has pollution worsened in poor countries manufacturing goods for export to rich ones? That depends. Emissions intensities for similar industries are higher in poor countries, which means that even balanced trade causes more pollution there, even for the same goods. And proportional growth in trade has increased that gap. Whether we should consider that to be “outsourcing pollution” is debatable. Have environmental regulations enacted by rich countries caused either of the first two changes? No, the evidence does not show that regulations cause outsourcing.
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