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货物的运输距离:1965–2020年全球运输与供应链

How Far Goods Travel: Global Transport and Supply Chains from 1965–2020
Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2023 · Sharat Ganapati、Woan Foong Wong

中文摘要

本文考察了过去半个世纪全球运输使用量的演变及其对供应链的影响。随着成本下降三分之一,运输使用量增加了一倍以上。新兴经济体参与世界贸易以及国家间更长距离的贸易推动了运输使用量的增加,从而鼓励了更长的供应链。我们讨论了这一时期的技术进步,及其与运输成本和供应链联系的内生响应之间的相互作用。涉及更多国家和更长距离的供应链反映了可靠且高效的运输,但也更容易受到中断的影响,这凸显了在政策制定和未来研究中考虑运输与供应链之间相互关联性的重要性。

Abstract

This paper considers the evolution of global transportation usage over the past half century and its implications for supply chains. Transportation usage has more than doubled as costs decreased by a third. Participation of emerging economies in world trade and longer-distance trade between countries contribute to this usage increase, thereby encouraging longer supply chains. We discuss technological advances over this period, and their interactions with endogenous responses from transportation costs and supply chain linkages. Supply chains involving more countries and longer distances are reflective of reliable and efficient transportat ion, but are also more exposed to disruptions, highlighting the importance of considering the interconnectedness of transportation and supply chains in policymaking and future work.
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