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大学是否是一项值得的投资?

Is College a Worthwhile Investment?
Annual Review of Economics · 2015 · Lisa Barrow、Ofer Malamud

中文摘要

本文综述了关于大学教育回报的现有证据,并基于近期数据提供了新的测算。我们聚焦于个体决策,概述经济学家用以分析教育投资的标准概念框架。随后,我们比较文献中关于大学教育价值的不同估计,并将其与我们所倾向的估计加以协调。我们还对旨在估计大学教育对金钱与非金钱结果之因果效应的文献进行了选择性回顾。最后,我们提供了额外测算,展示大学教育回报在特定院校特征和人口特征上的异质性,回顾相关学术文献,并讨论大学投资所伴随的风险。我们的结论是:平均而言,大学无疑是一项值得的投资,且对许多子群体而言很可能也是值得的,尽管未必对所有人皆然。

Abstract

This article surveys the existing evidence on the return to a college education and offers new calculations based on recent data. We focus on an individual’s decision and outline the standard conceptual framework used by economists to analyze investments in education. We then compare alternative estimates of the value of a college education in the literature and reconcile them with our own preferred estimates. We also conduct a selective review of the literature seeking to estimate the causal effects of college on pecuniary and nonpecuniary outcomes. Finally, we provide additional calculations showing the heterogeneity in returns to college across certain institutional and demographic characteristics, review the related academic literature, and discuss the risk associated with a college investment. We conclude that college is certainly a worthwhile investment on average and likely worthwhile for many subgroups, although not necessarily for everyone.
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