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家庭债务:事实、谜题、理论与政策

Household Debt: Facts, Puzzles, Theories, and Policies
Annual Review of Economics · 2015 · Jonathan Zinman

中文摘要

借贷决策影响大多数家庭,事关重大利害,并对宏观经济学与产业组织等差异悬殊的研究子领域均有启示。本文回顾了关于家庭债务的理论与实证研究:其普遍程度、水平、增长与构成,以及衡量消费者选择与市场(无)效率、弹性与价格的各种指标,包括关于借贷异质性如何影响消费机会成本分布的新证据。本文还讨论了政策评估中的机遇与挑战。一个关键结论是,谜题众多,本文指出了大量有待进一步研究的方向。

Abstract

Borrowing decisions affect most households, with large stakes and implications for research subfields as varied as macroeconomics and industrial organization. I review theoretical and empirical work on household debt: its prevalence, level, growth, and composition, as well as various measures of consumer choice and market (in)efficiency, elasticities, and prices, including new evidence on how borrowing heterogeneity affects the distribution of the opportunity cost of consumption. I also discuss opportunities and challenges in policy evaluation. A key takeaway is that puzzles abound, and I highlight numerous avenues for further research.
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